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Insights and Analysis
We are building new alliances with experts in the ESG, climate and sustainable finance fields, which broaden Moody’s growing platform of risk assessment capabilities.

This increased cooperation and access to ESG data and research supports our commitment to sustainable finance and enhances our thought leadership on ESG considerations. Read some of our key research pieces below.
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Research Highlights
Sovereigns – Global: Explanatory Comment: New scores depict varied and largely credit-negative impact of ESG factors
January 18, 2021

In this report, we highlight the key drivers of the credit relevance of ESG following the publishing of ESG scores for all rated Sovereigns.

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ESG – Global: Heat map - Sectors with $3.4 trillion in debt face heightened environmental credit risk
December 14, 2020

Our global heat map dissects the environmental risk exposure of 89 industry sectors, representing $79 trillion in rated debt.

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Carbon transition risk for US power generation varies widely by issuer
December 2, 2020

Our carbon transition assessments (CTAs) of 51 US electric utilities and power generators that own generation assets show a wide range of positioning for the transition to a low-carbon economy.

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ESG risks cited as material in half of Moody’s public-sector rating actions
November 18, 2020

We cited ESG risks as a material credit consideration in 50% of the more than 6,900 public-sector rating actions that we published from January 2019 to March 2020.

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Issuance of sustainable bonds reaches record high in third quarter
November 16, 2020

Global issuance of green, social and sustainability bonds totaled a record $127.3 billion in the third quarter, 30% higher than the previous record achieved during the second quarter of this year.

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Credit Conditions – Global: 2021 Outlook – Slow economic recovery and uneven pandemic effects will shape credit environment
November 9, 2020

Six key themes will shape the credit environment in the year ahead: Uneven recovery, policy challenges, rising debt burdens, digital transformation, environmental impact and social trends.

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Learn more about Moody’s Investors Service ESG approach
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An Empirical Assessment of the Financial Impacts of Climate-related Hazard Events
December 31, 2020

This empirical study quantifies corporate valuation and credit impacts of climate-related hazard events, finding statistically and economically significant negative impacts of hazard events on the subsequent valuation of affected firms.

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COVID-19 and Distress in the CMBS Markets
August 20, 2020

We provide an update in this paper on the worst affected property types and geographic markets—and offer our thoughts on how conditions in the CRE debt markets will likely evolve through the rest of the year.

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Protecting Workers and Businesses in the COVID Crisis
July 20, 2020

A staggering nearly one-third of American workers have taken a direct financial hit from the COVID-19 pandemic, either through a lost job, lost hours, or a pay cut.

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Navigating Credit in Asia Beyond COVID-19
June 20, 2020

As institutions attempt to use established, well-developed models to evaluate the current credit environment, it is clear these are not working adequately. This paper addresses these challenges.

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Unprecedented Demographic Change Will Shape Credit Markets Through 2030
June 20, 2020

Long-term prospects for U.S. economic growth fall short of what held during the second half of the 20th century. The demographic outlook for the next 10 years differs drastically from what held in 1997-2000.

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Measuring What Matters: A New Approach to Assessing Sovereign Climate Risk
December 3, 2020

This report analyzes sovereign exposure to floods, heat stress, hurricanes and typhoons, sea level rise, water stress and wildfires based on the only known global dataset matching physical climate risk exposure to locations of population, GDP (Purchasing Power Parity) and agricultural areas within countries.

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Are U.S. Corporates Ready for Climate Risk Disclosures?
November 24, 2020

This analysis uses the TCFD Climate Strategy Assessment dataset from Moody's affiliate V.E to explore how US firms stand against policy recommendations outlined in recent reports by the US Commodity and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Business Roundtable (BRT) and assesses how disclosure in the US compares to reporting in other markets.

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Climate Change and Wildfires: Projecting Future Wildfire Potential
August 20, 2020

Four Twenty Seven developed a first-of-its-kind global dataset projecting changes to wildfire potential under a changing climate, at a granularity of about 25 x25 kilometers.

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Racial Justice and Climate Change: Exposure
July 20, 2020

The relationship between race and climate change is too often ignored. The recent protests for racial justice and police reform call attention to the fact that racism is still deeply embedded in our institutions and public policies.

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Demystifying Climate Scenario Analysis for Financial Stakeholders
December 19, 2019

The report explores which physical impacts are already locked in, identifies how Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios apply, and describes an approach to setting up scenario analysis for near-term physical climate risks.

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Towards Nuclear Disarmament: The UN Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons
November 30, 2020

In October 2020, the United Nations ratified the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW). We explore how this change in international law may impact investors.

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Taxonomy Alignment Screening
October 15, 2020

In this research paper, we showcase the solution that V.E has developed for investors to help them in measuring EU Taxonomy Alignment.

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Measuring TCFD Disclosures
September 20, 2020

In this research paper, we examine where companies stand today in terms of adopting the TCFD recommendations. Our research indicates that most companies still lag behind in terms of disclosures.

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Emerging Risks in the European Insurance Sector
July 20, 2020

V.E analyses how insurance companies factor emerging risks into their service offering. This Sustainability-Focused analysis provides an overview of the European landscape.

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COVID-19 ESG Risk and Opportunities Dataset (C-19 Dataset)
June 20, 2020

The C-19 Dataset can be used as a lens to view the extent to which a company is fundamentally prepared to manage the risks and opportunities that the pandemic presents over the medium and long term.

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